Tokyo 2020 Olympics Baseball Odds, Predictions: Team United States vs. Japan Gold Medal Selections From Proven Expert


Baseball’s gold medal will be on the line on Saturday when the United States and Japan meet in the gold medal match of the Tokyo 2020 Olympic Games at Yokohama Baseball Stadium. The United States, which last won gold in 2000, advanced to the final with a 7-2 victory over South Korea on Thursday. The Americans will face host Japan, which beat South Korea on Wednesday to play in the gold medal game for the first time since 1996.

The first step is set for 6 a.m. ET. Japan is the -200 favorite (risk $ 200 to win $ 100) in the latest USA vs. Japan odds from Caesars Sportsbook while the US is the +170 underdog. The Over / Under for the total number of points scored is 8.5. Before you lock in your Japan vs. USA picks, be sure to check out the 2020 Olympics predictions and betting tips from CBS Sports baseball guru Matt Snyder.

A former Indiana University player and a member of the Baseball Writers’ Association of America, Snyder has been a baseball writer with CBS Sports since 2011. Obsessed with baseball from a young age, Snyder has been a fan of the game ever since. let him play nickel-and-dime poker as a teenager at $ 5 blackjack as a broke student at major sports betting as an adult.

CBS Sports’ longest-running baseball expert combines simple logic learned from his days as a baseball player with extensive analytical background. He went 26-18 in the 2020 MLB playoffs, including 8-4 in World Series betting, and earned Vanderbilt victory in Game 1 (-190) in the 2021 College World Series.

Now Snyder has set his sights on the gold medal game between the United States and Japan and has revealed his picks and predictions for Olympic baseball. You can head over to SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are the Olympic baseball odds and betting trends for Japan vs. the United States:

  • Spread United States vs Japan: Japan -1.5
  • USA vs Japan Over / Under: 8.5 points
  • Currency line United States vs Japan: Japan -200, United States +170
  • USA: Team USA leads Olympics in ERA (2.18)
  • JPN: Japan ranks first for points per game (5.8)

Why should you support Japan

The Japanese have their pitch much better aligned than the Americans. Japan have played one game less than the Americans and their pitchers have rested since Wednesday – all their arms should be available. On Saturday, the Japanese will start Masato Morishita, who allowed just two runs on five hits in five innings against Mexico on July 31.

Plus, Hayato Sakamoto brings a hot bat in Saturday’s game. The 32-year-old shortstop hits .389 and leads the team in hitting (.722) and doubles (three). In Japan’s 7-6 win over the Americans on Monday, he went 3-5 with a run and a RBI.

Why should you support the United States

The USA team have shown they have the best pitcher so far in Yokohama. The Americans lead the six-team Olympic peloton with a 2.18 ERA. (For comparison, the Dominican Republic is second, at 3.56.) On Saturday, the United States will start Nick Martinez, who was excellent last time around, with five innings while allowing just one point and pulling out new on sockets.

Plus, Tyler Austin has been tough in Tokyo. A former Yankee playing his second season with the Central League’s Yokohama DeNA BayStars, Austin leads the team in average (0.429) and strokes (0.857) while adding two home runs and seven RBIs.

How to make picks for the United States against Japan

Snyder broke this game down and one of his picks is done for the total runs. But he’s discovered a critical X factor that’s causing him to jump all over one side of the racing line. Head over to SportsLine now to see his analysis and expert picks in Olympic baseball.

So who wins Japan over the United States in the gold medal game? And where is all the value of the bets? Visit SportsLine now to find out which bet in the United States against Japan has all the value, all from the baseball expert who went 26-18 in the 2020 MLB playoffs.


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